- The term 'hedge your bets' is well-known phrase. It has been around in English since at least the 16 th century, when it referred to laying off a bet by placing a smaller wager with other lenders. And, today in modern gambling, the meaning still holds true. Essentially, 'hedging a bet' means to reduce risk and, sometimes, guarantee a profit.
- Hedging or hedging betting is a type of betting when a bettor puts 2 bets for the same even but with different outcomes selections. Hedging bets is usually done to minimise the risk of losing money. Nowadays, punters can manage their bets online and hedge even.
On Friday 19th June, without any prior notification, Betfair introduced some changes and new rules to their API. This had the effect of preventing ALL API software users correctly hedging position on the Betfair betting exchange.
Everything you need for your 'back to lay' hedge betting; with pace rated past runs, 'back to lay' specific ratings, race conditions, graphical views of information, odds movements, fast find shortlists, and comprehensive conditional filters enable you to find and order 'back to lay' hedge bets all in one place. It can be used both pre-event and in-play and is a preferred strategy of many professionals, whether traditional 'hedge funds' in the stock market or traders on Betfair. Hedging does not guarantee profit – there is no gambling strategy that does (other than matched betting through a tool such as Profit Maximiser ) – but hedging can be.
Typically this would have exhibited itself when trying to implement greening. The Betfair exchange wasn't accepting orders correctly, leaving stray orders in your unmatched bet area. This meant that customers were left with slightly uneven positions in the market which they were trading.
Changes to the API should be announced in advance and that gives us time to implement and test any key changes. On this occasion Betfair changed the API without informing us, so the first we knew about it was when we spotted it ourselves when trying to hedging our own trading postions. Betfair didn't acknoledge any changes until much later than evening.
Why did this happen?
Betfair felt the integrity of the exchange was threatened by an exploit that existed.
There has been a loophole in the way Betfair round bets for many years and is often exploited by a few users so it's is something that's been on their radar for quite some time, obviously though something must of happened during last week to prompt them into doing the sudden unannounced change when they did on Friday.
For example – a 13p @ 1.06 back bet is ‘unfair' as it ‘ought' to win 0.78p, but actually – due to the old rounding – wins 1p, which is a 28% uplift in profit.
However having hundreds and thousands of tiny bets like that hitting the exchange from various accounts purposely exploiting this loophole is bad for API stability which effects us all so its not a bad thing Betfair have taken decision to close this exploit once and for all.
What we did
Although no one was aware of this change coming, we spotted something was wrong within hours and moved quickly to release an updated build of Bet Angel later that same evening to our forum to try and reduce the wider impact these new changes were having on customers using stakes below the £2 Betfair minimum, particularly when greening up with small stakes. This enabled Bet Angel users to continue using the software and their trading throughout that weekend.
Once we were able to speak with Betfair and get clear confirmation of what exactly what it was they changed and what the new parameters and calculations now being used were we could then issue another build of this Bet Angel at the start of this week with tighter coding.
Updating Bet Angel
We recommend updating Bet Angel. These updated versions will still allow you to continue to place bets and green up with small stakes still. But due to the new Betfair rounding rules, there may be times when your P/L still ends up uneven by a few pence. So we have also updated the Bet Angel logging to spot when the API rejects these bets due to rounding, this allows users to see clearly if that was indeed the reason their order was rejected or not.
If that does happen you will see an error written to your Bet Angel log which looks like ' While Greening Up Unable to Place Lay Bet Due to Befair's Rules Regarding Payout/Liability Rounding'
The latest builds of Bet Angel are now;
These can be downloaded from both our forum and main website, once installed you will see one of those build numbers in the bottom right corner of the blue login window or by clicking the ‘about' tab once logged in.
If you are installing the latest version of Bet Angel to a VPS you may need to follow the specific instructions listed on this blog post.
Note; If you are not using the latest version, you will also see a pop-up message at login prompting you to download and install the latest version.
For full details of the changes made by Betfair on 19th June please see this post from their developer's forum
The post Betfair API – Greening / Hedging / Cash out issues appeared first on Betfair trading blog | Expert advice from Professional Betfair trade.
Betfair Hedging Strategy
You may have heard the phrase ‘hedge your bets' being thrown around before.
If you don't know the real meaning then you are missing out on a great betting strategy to lock in profit whatever the outcome of an event.
Fortunately for you, this guide will teach you how to hedge your bets and the hedging strategies to get you earning some extra money.
What is Hedge Betting?
Hedge betting comes from the financial world as does many profitable strategies.
It is the technique of placing two bets on the same betting market to take advantage in the movement of odds.
The best way to do this is by using a betting exchange like Betfair Exchange or Smarkets. These allow us to place lay bets – meaning we are betting on something not to happen.
If you can back for higher odds and lay for lower odds this is where the profit lies.
Hedging acts almost as an insurance mechanism. There is no need to gamble and worry about whether your bet is coming in. If you're happy to take less of a payout, when done correctly, it can take away the chance of you losing.
It also acts as a way to cut your losses. Sometimes you place a bad bet or the odds don't move in your favour. If we're serious about making money from betting then we have to accept occasional losses are part of the process.
However, losing our whole stake is something that we can avoid. By placing a lay bet as close to the original odds a possible it will minimise the loss greatly.
Remember – if we have to lose, taking small losses is what keeps the profit high.
Hedging your bets is an incredibly important system to learn.
It is used in matched betting as well as Betfair trading. Getting a good grasp of hedging strategies will stand you in good stead should you ever get into either.
How to Hedge Your Bets
Hedging is a very versatile strategy.
Sometimes you need to hedge your bets very quickly and sometimes it might be weeks or months before you need to consider hedging.
This is based on whether you're hedging in-play or on a long-term market, like a competition outcome.
We are going to explain how best to use both hedging strategies below.
Outright Market Hedging
An outright market is when a bookmaker takes bets on tournament and competition outcomes rather than individual matches. The most common thing to bet on is to bet on the outright winner but there are many markets within this – highest points/goal scorer is an example.
This market will normally be the first bets that are offered and will run throughout the event.
Let's take a look at an example.
Paddy Power are offering odds of 2.4 for Liverpool to be the winners of the Premier League.
We see this as good value. Manchester City are the favourites but we expect Liverpool, at the very least, to run them close.
If Liverpool were to go on and win the title we would be taking home £1,200. That's £700 in pure profit.
That's a pretty good return.
However, the Premier League is a long, hard competition run over ten months.
As expected both Liverpool and Man City have started well. They are first and second respectively coming into the final few months of the season. Liverpool have built up a lead of six points over Man City.
This is always the crunch point in a season. The games come thick and fast, with teams having to play in multiple competitions.
Man City have a much better squad to deal with this amount of games and any injuries that may affect key players.
Although we are still in with a good chance of the bet winning we're not as confident as we once were.
Most people would sit on it and watch the games nervously.
Fortunately, we're not most people. Being familiar with hedging bets we decide to take another look at the odds.
Liverpool are now as low as 1.25 to lay at Betfair Exchange.
Laying simply means to bet against something.
If we go to a hedging calculator and enter all the information it will present us with this…
If we place a £1000 lay bet on Liverpool we stand to win £450 whether Liverpool win or not!
This is possible because we have bet on Liverpool to win and not to win. By using the movement in the odds and an altered lay stake it leaves us with a win whatever the outcome of the Premier League.
It may sound a bit complex to get your head around at first but it's really simple.
Just remember – to hedge your bet profitably we need the back odds to be high and the lay odds to be lower.
Betting Hedging
By doing this it does mean we have to take less profit than the original bet promised us. Liverpool to win would have won £700, that's £250 more than what we would have won by hedging.
It's important to remember risk versus reward.
Is it better to let the bet run and potentially lose £500? Assessing all the information we think not.
This is the advantage of hedge betting. It becomes a valuable strategy to make consistent profits. By hedging your bets you can look to minimise risk and build your bankroll steadily.
Hedging In-play
Betfair Hedging Stocks
Stepping into the in-play market is always fun. Fast-paced and plenty of markets there's potential for quick profit.
Remember, if you're gambling regularly more often than not the bookies will beat you!
Using a similar hedging strategy we can look to improve our chances.
Because we have to move quickly when betting in-play all of the bets we are going to place will be on an exchange like Smarkets or Betfair Exchange. Here we can back and lay one after another.
Take a look at this tennis market…
We're in the match winner market and think there's money to be made in this match. We place a back bet on Torebko to win.
As the game progresses we notice that the odds of Torebko have started to fall.
Knowing about hedging this represents a point we can make some money. Rather than stay in the market and risk losing the stake we decide to hedge.
We can lay for 1.76.
Using a calculator, as before, it will show the lay stake we need to enter.
By laying £58.48 we have found a price point where the lay odds are lower than the original back odds.
This means we can profit £5.56 whatever the outcome.
Betfair Hedging Vs
You can see how important hedging bets can be to bettors. It's an invaluable tip to not only get you out of trouble but also look to create profit.
As you may have noticed by targeting movement of odds you can look to create a profitable hedging strategy. More on this to come.
Hedging Your Losses
If we're in the market and it starts to move against us knowing how to hedge your bet will always be valuable.
You may not be able to avoid making a loss but it will minimise it.
Although no one was aware of this change coming, we spotted something was wrong within hours and moved quickly to release an updated build of Bet Angel later that same evening to our forum to try and reduce the wider impact these new changes were having on customers using stakes below the £2 Betfair minimum, particularly when greening up with small stakes. This enabled Bet Angel users to continue using the software and their trading throughout that weekend.
Once we were able to speak with Betfair and get clear confirmation of what exactly what it was they changed and what the new parameters and calculations now being used were we could then issue another build of this Bet Angel at the start of this week with tighter coding.
Updating Bet Angel
We recommend updating Bet Angel. These updated versions will still allow you to continue to place bets and green up with small stakes still. But due to the new Betfair rounding rules, there may be times when your P/L still ends up uneven by a few pence. So we have also updated the Bet Angel logging to spot when the API rejects these bets due to rounding, this allows users to see clearly if that was indeed the reason their order was rejected or not.
If that does happen you will see an error written to your Bet Angel log which looks like ' While Greening Up Unable to Place Lay Bet Due to Befair's Rules Regarding Payout/Liability Rounding'
The latest builds of Bet Angel are now;
These can be downloaded from both our forum and main website, once installed you will see one of those build numbers in the bottom right corner of the blue login window or by clicking the ‘about' tab once logged in.
If you are installing the latest version of Bet Angel to a VPS you may need to follow the specific instructions listed on this blog post.
Note; If you are not using the latest version, you will also see a pop-up message at login prompting you to download and install the latest version.
For full details of the changes made by Betfair on 19th June please see this post from their developer's forum
The post Betfair API – Greening / Hedging / Cash out issues appeared first on Betfair trading blog | Expert advice from Professional Betfair trade.
Betfair Hedging Strategy
You may have heard the phrase ‘hedge your bets' being thrown around before.
If you don't know the real meaning then you are missing out on a great betting strategy to lock in profit whatever the outcome of an event.
Fortunately for you, this guide will teach you how to hedge your bets and the hedging strategies to get you earning some extra money.
What is Hedge Betting?
Hedge betting comes from the financial world as does many profitable strategies.
It is the technique of placing two bets on the same betting market to take advantage in the movement of odds.
The best way to do this is by using a betting exchange like Betfair Exchange or Smarkets. These allow us to place lay bets – meaning we are betting on something not to happen.
If you can back for higher odds and lay for lower odds this is where the profit lies.
Hedging acts almost as an insurance mechanism. There is no need to gamble and worry about whether your bet is coming in. If you're happy to take less of a payout, when done correctly, it can take away the chance of you losing.
It also acts as a way to cut your losses. Sometimes you place a bad bet or the odds don't move in your favour. If we're serious about making money from betting then we have to accept occasional losses are part of the process.
However, losing our whole stake is something that we can avoid. By placing a lay bet as close to the original odds a possible it will minimise the loss greatly.
Remember – if we have to lose, taking small losses is what keeps the profit high.
Hedging your bets is an incredibly important system to learn.
It is used in matched betting as well as Betfair trading. Getting a good grasp of hedging strategies will stand you in good stead should you ever get into either.
How to Hedge Your Bets
Hedging is a very versatile strategy.
Sometimes you need to hedge your bets very quickly and sometimes it might be weeks or months before you need to consider hedging.
This is based on whether you're hedging in-play or on a long-term market, like a competition outcome.
We are going to explain how best to use both hedging strategies below.
Outright Market Hedging
An outright market is when a bookmaker takes bets on tournament and competition outcomes rather than individual matches. The most common thing to bet on is to bet on the outright winner but there are many markets within this – highest points/goal scorer is an example.
This market will normally be the first bets that are offered and will run throughout the event.
Let's take a look at an example.
Paddy Power are offering odds of 2.4 for Liverpool to be the winners of the Premier League.
We see this as good value. Manchester City are the favourites but we expect Liverpool, at the very least, to run them close.
If Liverpool were to go on and win the title we would be taking home £1,200. That's £700 in pure profit.
That's a pretty good return.
However, the Premier League is a long, hard competition run over ten months.
As expected both Liverpool and Man City have started well. They are first and second respectively coming into the final few months of the season. Liverpool have built up a lead of six points over Man City.
This is always the crunch point in a season. The games come thick and fast, with teams having to play in multiple competitions.
Man City have a much better squad to deal with this amount of games and any injuries that may affect key players.
Although we are still in with a good chance of the bet winning we're not as confident as we once were.
Most people would sit on it and watch the games nervously.
Fortunately, we're not most people. Being familiar with hedging bets we decide to take another look at the odds.
Liverpool are now as low as 1.25 to lay at Betfair Exchange.
Laying simply means to bet against something.
If we go to a hedging calculator and enter all the information it will present us with this…
If we place a £1000 lay bet on Liverpool we stand to win £450 whether Liverpool win or not!
This is possible because we have bet on Liverpool to win and not to win. By using the movement in the odds and an altered lay stake it leaves us with a win whatever the outcome of the Premier League.
It may sound a bit complex to get your head around at first but it's really simple.
Just remember – to hedge your bet profitably we need the back odds to be high and the lay odds to be lower.
Betting Hedging
By doing this it does mean we have to take less profit than the original bet promised us. Liverpool to win would have won £700, that's £250 more than what we would have won by hedging.
It's important to remember risk versus reward.
Is it better to let the bet run and potentially lose £500? Assessing all the information we think not.
This is the advantage of hedge betting. It becomes a valuable strategy to make consistent profits. By hedging your bets you can look to minimise risk and build your bankroll steadily.
Hedging In-play
Betfair Hedging Stocks
Stepping into the in-play market is always fun. Fast-paced and plenty of markets there's potential for quick profit.
Remember, if you're gambling regularly more often than not the bookies will beat you!
Using a similar hedging strategy we can look to improve our chances.
Because we have to move quickly when betting in-play all of the bets we are going to place will be on an exchange like Smarkets or Betfair Exchange. Here we can back and lay one after another.
Take a look at this tennis market…
We're in the match winner market and think there's money to be made in this match. We place a back bet on Torebko to win.
As the game progresses we notice that the odds of Torebko have started to fall.
Knowing about hedging this represents a point we can make some money. Rather than stay in the market and risk losing the stake we decide to hedge.
We can lay for 1.76.
Using a calculator, as before, it will show the lay stake we need to enter.
By laying £58.48 we have found a price point where the lay odds are lower than the original back odds.
This means we can profit £5.56 whatever the outcome.
Betfair Hedging Vs
You can see how important hedging bets can be to bettors. It's an invaluable tip to not only get you out of trouble but also look to create profit.
As you may have noticed by targeting movement of odds you can look to create a profitable hedging strategy. More on this to come.
Hedging Your Losses
If we're in the market and it starts to move against us knowing how to hedge your bet will always be valuable.
You may not be able to avoid making a loss but it will minimise it.
After placing a £50 back bet on Prissy Missy the odds start to move against us and the horse isn't looking good as they line up.
The market has noticed this and is starting to drift further and further from the back price we managed to get.
Knowing it's likely we are onto a loss we get back into the market quickly.
With the shift in odds for Prissy Missy up to 5, we place a £45 lay bet.
This leaves a loss of £5 whatever the outcome.
As you can see, our thoughts about how the horse was looking were correct. It ended up coming third by a fair amount.
Because we hedged our bets it means we only lost £5 instead of £50. That's a tenth of the original loss.
Hedging bets is important when it comes to cutting your losses but also when guaranteeing your winnings.
Remember we compared hedge betting to an insurance mechanism at the start of the guide?
Well, this is why.
It can get you out of trouble as much as it can help you profit.
Tips and Tricks
Always weigh up risk and reward. You don't want to be overly cautious and implement a hedging strategy that takes away from your profit.
Instead, it can be used as a plan B when things might not be heading the way you want. As you get more experienced you will be able to start reading the way odds are moving a bit more.
You might have also spotted how hedging your bets means you can take advantage of movement of odds?
It's not necessary to need to know the winner of an event with hedging. As long as you can get a feel for which way the odds are going to move you can hedge for profit.
This is what sports traders having been doing on Betfair Exchange very profitably since its release.
